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1 ## Copyright (C) 1995, 1996, 1997 Kurt Hornik |
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2 ## |
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3 ## This program is free software; you can redistribute it and/or modify |
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4 ## it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by |
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5 ## the Free Software Foundation; either version 2, or (at your option) |
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6 ## any later version. |
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7 ## |
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8 ## This program is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but |
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9 ## WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of |
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10 ## MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the GNU |
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11 ## General Public License for more details. |
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12 ## |
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13 ## You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License |
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14 ## along with this file. If not, write to the Free Software Foundation, |
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15 ## 59 Temple Place - Suite 330, Boston, MA 02111-1307, USA. |
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16 |
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17 ## -*- texinfo -*- |
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18 ## @deftypefn {Function File} {@var{y} =} arch_rnd (@var{a}, @var{b}, @var{t}) |
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19 ## Simulate an ARCH sequence, @var{y}, of length @var{t} with AR |
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20 ## coefficients @var{b} and CH coefficients @var{a}. I.e., the result |
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21 ## follows the model |
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22 ## |
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23 ## @example |
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24 ## y(t) = b(1) + b(2) * y(t-1) + ... + b(lb) * y(t-lb+1) + e(t), |
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25 ## @end example |
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26 ## |
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27 ## @noindent |
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28 ## where e(t), given @var{y} up to time @var{t}-1, is @var{N}(0, |
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29 ## @var{h}(@var{t})), with |
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30 ## |
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31 ## @example |
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32 ## h(t) = a(1) + a(2) * e(t-1)^2 + ... + a(la) * e(t-la+1)^2 |
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33 ## @end example |
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34 ## @end deftypefn |
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35 |
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36 ## Author: KH <Kurt.Hornik@ci.tuwien.ac.at> |
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37 ## Description: Simulate an ARCH process |
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38 |
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39 function y = arch_rnd (a, b, T) |
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40 |
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41 if (nargin != 3) |
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42 usage ("arch_rnd (a, b, T)"); |
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43 endif |
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44 |
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45 if (! ((min (size (a)) == 1) && (min (size (b)) == 1))) |
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46 error ("arch_rnd: a and b must both be scalars or vectors"); |
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47 endif |
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48 if (! (is_scalar (T) && (T > 0) && (rem (T, 1) == 0))) |
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49 error ("arch_rnd: T must be a positive integer"); |
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50 endif |
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51 |
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52 if (! (a(1) > 0)) |
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53 error ("arch_rnd: a(1) must be positive"); |
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54 endif |
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55 ## perhaps add a test for the roots of a(z) here ... |
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56 |
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57 la = length (a); |
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58 a = reshape (a, 1, la); |
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59 if (la == 1) |
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60 a = [a, 0]; |
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61 la = la + 1; |
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62 endif |
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63 lb = length (b); |
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64 b = reshape (b, 1, lb); |
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65 if (lb == 1) |
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66 b = [b, 0]; |
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67 lb = lb + 1; |
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68 endif |
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69 M = max([la, lb]); |
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70 |
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71 e = zeros (T, 1); |
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72 h = zeros (T, 1); |
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73 y = zeros (T, 1); |
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74 |
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75 h(1) = a(1); |
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76 e(1) = sqrt (h(1)) * randn; |
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77 y(1) = b(1) + e(1); |
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78 |
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79 for t= 2 : M; |
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80 ta = min ([t, la]); |
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81 h(t) = a(1) + a(2:ta) * e(t-1:t-ta+1).^2; |
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82 e(t) = sqrt (h(t)) * randn; |
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83 tb = min ([t, lb]); |
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84 y(t) = b(1) + b(2:tb) * y(t-1:t-tb+1) + e(t); |
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85 endfor |
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86 if (T > M) |
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87 for t = M+1 : T; |
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88 h(t) = a(1) + a(2:la) * e(t-1:t-la+1).^2; |
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89 e(t) = sqrt (h(t)) * randn; |
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90 y(t) = b(1) + b(2:lb) * y(t-1:t-tb+1) + e(t); |
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91 endfor |
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92 endif |
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93 |
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94 y = y(1:T); |
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95 |
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96 endfunction |
